234ksdj3s33sfe33rf
0x8f38bd82abdb8fcbdaabb0a996ab306252767af9
- Realised P&L
- $66.99
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $42.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.16at 0.016Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 25?
- +$56.80at 0.012Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 25?
- +$11.50at 0.080Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 27?
- +$10.10at 0.495Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 26?
- +$5.14at 0.171Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 21:21 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.52 |
| 04-15 20:41 | Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.06 |
| 04-11 01:26 | Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 02:54 | Will Jenny Costa Honeycutt be the Republican Nominee for SC-01? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.23 |
| 04-09 00:50 | Will Marlon Vera be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.05 |
| 04-04 23:39 | Will Justin Myers be the Republican Nominee for SC-01? | BUY | 0.0077644726 | $0.98 |
| 04-04 23:39 | Will Logan Cunningham be the Republican Nominee for SC-01? | BUY | 0.0086665546 | $1.55 |
| 04-04 00:59 | Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.03 |
| 04-04 00:59 | Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.11 |
| 04-04 00:59 | Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.00920033 | $1.23 |
| 04-04 00:59 | Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.0085303956 | $0.27 |
| 04-03 23:21 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0197070222 | $1.27 |
| 04-03 21:54 | Will Cory Sandhagen be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 04-02 13:07 | Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.90 |
| 04-02 05:33 | Will Jamahal Hill be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0097704271 | $1.19 |