PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

234ksdj3s33sfe33rf

0x8f38bd82abdb8fcbdaabb0a996ab306252767af9

Realised P&L
$71.64
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$37.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jenny Costa Honeycutt be the Republican Nominee for SC-01? · Yes0.0161.000$14.36+$14.13
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? · Yes0.7401.000$10.00+$2.60
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0100.044$3.67+$2.87
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0730.098$2.45+$0.64
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.0200.087$1.93+$1.49
Will Jamahal Hill be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.006$0.73−$0.46
Will Khalil Rountree Jr. be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.006$0.73−$0.45
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0180.019$0.67+$0.04
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.0290.018$0.63−$0.35
Will Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.0280.013$0.44−$0.51
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0200.004$0.23−$1.05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0340.041$0.20+$0.03
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0090.002$0.19−$0.99
Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0100.002$0.17−$0.94
Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.0090.002$0.15−$0.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-15 21:21Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.01$1.52
04-15 20:41Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.007$1.06
04-11 01:26Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.01$1.00
04-09 02:54Will Jenny Costa Honeycutt be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?BUY0.016$0.23
04-09 00:50Will Marlon Vera be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.006$0.05
04-04 23:39Will Justin Myers be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?BUY0.0077644726$0.98
04-04 23:39Will Logan Cunningham be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?BUY0.0086665546$1.55
04-04 00:59Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?BUY0.019$1.03
04-04 00:59Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.01$0.11
04-04 00:59Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.00920033$1.23
04-04 00:59Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.0085303956$0.27
04-03 23:21Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.0197070222$1.27
04-03 21:54Will Cory Sandhagen be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.005$0.03
04-02 13:07Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?BUY0.009$0.90
04-02 05:33Will Jamahal Hill be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.0097704271$1.19