murray.melanda
0x8f38aa4a247fbe539d30fce106ba93d5b8d0afa0
- Realised P&L
- $-85.45
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $22.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.470 | 0.500 | $5.38 | +$0.32 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.675 | $5.23 | +$0.19 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No | 0.750 | 0.735 | $4.93 | −$0.10 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.435 | $4.78 | −$0.27 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.680 | 0.275 | $2.04 | −$3.00 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5) · Real Racing Club | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.04 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) · CA Osasuna | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.50at 0.462Istanbul 2: Anastasia Zakharova vs Alexandra Shubladze
- +$20.86at 0.477Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins
- +$20.31at 0.491Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals
- +$19.96at 0.500Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker
- +$19.50at 0.512Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:40 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.68 | $5.03 |
| 09-16 20:22 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $5.05 |
| 09-16 14:08 | Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $5.05 |
| 09-16 14:07 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5) | BUY | 0.58 | $5.04 |
| 09-16 14:07 | Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $5.04 |
| 09-16 02:51 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | SELL | 0.76 | $8.17 |
| 09-16 01:39 | Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $9.33 |
| 09-15 21:22 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $5.04 |
| 09-15 21:22 | Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $5.04 |
| 09-15 17:58 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $5.05 |
| 09-15 16:59 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.04 |
| 09-15 16:02 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.7 | $5.10 |
| 09-15 15:29 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.69 | $5.03 |
| 09-15 15:22 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.04 |
| 09-15 10:35 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.74 | $4.97 |