PolyBot

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Traders

Marcuszdfb

0x8f35a1443eeb764fbdf589a148b5b05d1fbe2e09

Realised P&L
$-34.60
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$10.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? · No0.7000.695$10.43−$0.07
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$23.53
49ers vs. Rams · Rams0.6600.000$0.00−$6.60
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-22? · No0.7600.000$0.00−$28.12
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.6600.000$0.00−$17.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 03:18Will Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?BUY0.7$10.50
09-09 08:5749ers vs. RamsBUY0.66$6.60
09-07 09:49Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.69$11.04
08-22 03:12Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.997$19.94
08-22 03:12Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.002$0.04
08-22 03:11Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.76$28.12
08-08 09:25Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-08-08?BUY0.72$30.24
07-16 02:35Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.66$17.82
07-16 02:33Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.998$29.97
07-16 02:32Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.999$30.00
06-30 08:35Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7$18.06
06-25 06:11Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.82$23.53
05-27 11:30Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.59$20.89
05-18 11:33Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY0.7$15.26
04-22 09:44Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.995$29.85