0x8F3166B79A019A1F451d86513604Ffa1F74A84A2-1785673333356
0x8f3166b79a019a1f451d86513604ffa1f74a84a2
- Realised P&L
- $-21.99
- Volume
- $901.91
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $539.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.10at 0.560Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?
- +$1.59at 0.210Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video?
- +$1.21at 0.310Will Elon post "Neuralink" on X this week?
- +$-1.54at 0.720Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:40 | Will "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.67 |
| 08-04 10:40 | Will "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.67 |
| 08-04 10:40 | Will "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.72 | $9.36 |
| 08-03 21:17 | Will "IPO" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 08-03 21:17 | Will "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.62 |
| 08-03 21:17 | Will "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.62 |
| 08-03 21:17 | Will "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.56 |
| 08-03 08:32 | Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.92 | $12.05 |
| 08-03 08:32 | Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.92 | $11.96 |
| 08-03 08:16 | Will Elon post "Video game" or "Videogame" on X this week? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 08-03 08:16 | Will Elon post "Video game" or "Videogame" on X this week? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 08-03 08:16 | Will Elon post "Video game" or "Videogame" on X this week? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 08-03 07:43 | Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? | BUY | 0.88 | $26.40 |
| 08-02 15:27 | Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week? | BUY | 0.89 | $13.88 |
| 08-02 15:27 | Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week? | BUY | 0.8714102564 | $13.59 |