0x8F3166B79A019A1F451d86513604Ffa1F74A84A2-1785673333356
0x8f3166b79a019a1f451d86513604ffa1f74a84a2
- Realised P&L
- $-224.58
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 387
- Open portfolio
- $674.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded387
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.05at 0.560Will "Fear" be in the headlines this week?
- +$28.82at 0.648Will Trump say "Big Trouble" this week?
- +$28.68at 0.547Will "Hot" or "Heat" be in the headlines this week?
- +$26.86at 0.433Will "Hot" or "Heat" be in the headlines this week?
- +$26.36at 0.607Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 12:40 | Will Trump post "Fool" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.57 | $6.38 |
| 09-20 12:40 | Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.56 |
| 09-20 12:40 | Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.56 |
| 09-20 12:40 | Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.35 |
| 09-20 12:40 | Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.46 | $6.76 |
| 09-20 12:40 | Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.43 |
| 09-20 12:40 | Will Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.26 |
| 09-20 12:35 | Will Elon post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on X this week? | BUY | 0.94 | $10.90 |
| 09-20 12:35 | Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week? | BUY | 0.85 | $13.17 |
| 09-20 12:35 | Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week? | BUY | 0.85 | $9.86 |
| 09-20 12:35 | Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week? | BUY | 0.85 | $9.86 |
| 09-20 12:35 | Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week? | BUY | 0.88 | $10.21 |
| 09-20 12:35 | Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week? | BUY | 0.88 | $10.21 |
| 09-20 12:35 | Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week? | BUY | 0.8340645161 | $12.93 |
| 09-20 12:35 | Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week? | BUY | 0.82 | $12.71 |