PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8F3166B79A019A1F451d86513604Ffa1F74A84A2-1785673333356

0x8f3166b79a019a1f451d86513604ffa1f74a84a2

Realised P&L
$-224.58
Volume
$12.5k
Markets traded
387
Open portfolio
$674.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded387
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "NATO" be in the headlines this week? · No0.8210.420$42.55$40.64
Will "Gulf" be in the headlines this week? · No0.7020.705$41.66+$0.17
Will Elon post "Mexico" on X this week? · No0.8800.880$34.06+$0.00
Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week? · No0.8500.845$32.70$0.19
Will "Tech" be in the headlines this week? · Yes0.5340.510$30.50$1.44
Will Trump post "Allah" on Truth Social this week? · No0.8100.860$28.10+$1.62
Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week? · No0.8280.595$27.67$10.84
Will "World" be in the headlines this week? · Yes0.6210.650$27.30+$1.22
Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week? · No0.8400.875$27.13+$1.08
Will Trump post "Putin" on Truth Social this week? · No0.7700.815$26.73+$1.48
Will Trump post "Terrorism" on Truth Social this week? · No0.8000.810$26.57+$0.33
Will "SpaceX" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21? · No0.8640.840$25.18$0.73
Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week? · No0.3100.500$24.95+$9.48
Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week? · No0.9000.990$22.96+$2.08
Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week? · No0.8800.935$21.69+$1.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 12:40Will Trump post "Fool" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.57$6.38
09-20 12:40Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.31$4.56
09-20 12:40Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.31$4.56
09-20 12:40Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.31$6.35
09-20 12:40Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.46$6.76
09-20 12:40Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.46$9.43
09-20 12:40Will Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.12$1.26
09-20 12:35Will Elon post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on X this week?BUY0.94$10.90
09-20 12:35Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week?BUY0.85$13.17
09-20 12:35Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week?BUY0.85$9.86
09-20 12:35Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week?BUY0.85$9.86
09-20 12:35Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week?BUY0.88$10.21
09-20 12:35Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week?BUY0.88$10.21
09-20 12:35Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?BUY0.8340645161$12.93
09-20 12:35Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?BUY0.82$12.71