0x8F2D70F7EB5E4128921Ce1cb9db0291fD5B8c7c3-1772853636229
0x8f2d70f7eb5e4128921ce1cb9db0291fd5b8c7c3
- Realised P&L
- $-6.30
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $10.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.280 | 0.835 | $2.98 | +$1.98 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.585 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.052 | $2.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.205 | $1.76 | −$1.24 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.555 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.162 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.86at 0.350SHEIN IPO before 2027?
- +$1.53at 0.552Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
- +$1.33at 0.790Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$1.13at 0.460Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?
- +$1.08at 0.561Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 23:45 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 04-08 23:40 | Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 04-08 23:33 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.15 |
| 03-23 16:11 | Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.15 |
| 03-23 16:09 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.33 |
| 03-23 16:09 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 03-09 21:57 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026? | BUY | 0.0208879799 | $1.00 |
| 03-09 21:52 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 03-09 21:43 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 03-09 21:43 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 03-09 21:43 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 03-09 21:42 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999475 | $3.00 |
| 03-09 21:22 | Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Miami address? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.38 |
| 03-09 12:22 | Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Miami address? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.38 |
| 03-09 06:09 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1089999139 | $1.00 |