PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x8F26Ff3C6043b9e236e0594419271C9c5c5AA2fe-1775658297954

0x8f26ff3c6043b9e236e0594419271c9c5c5aa2fe

Realised P&L
$1.65
Volume
$123.92
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$2.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by September 30, 2026? · No0.8000.980$1.23+$0.23
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes0.8600.875$1.02+$0.02
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3450.000$0.00$1.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$1.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$1.00
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.00
Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 14:06Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.5$1.00
07-16 14:06Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.25$1.00
07-16 14:05Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
07-16 14:05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
07-13 03:12Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5699998233$1.00
07-13 03:08Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.8599995356$1.00
07-13 03:07Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
07-13 03:06Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
07-12 02:59Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?SELL0.8625$1.26
07-12 02:53Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.6825$1.00
07-12 00:09Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.429999828$1.00
07-09 22:23Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-09 22:23Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.5949998542$1.00
07-09 22:22Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5224999138$1.00
07-09 22:20Will France win on 2026-07-09?SELL0.9975$4.82