0x8F26Ff3C6043b9e236e0594419271C9c5c5AA2fe-1775658297954
0x8f26ff3c6043b9e236e0594419271c9c5c5aa2fe
- Realised P&L
- $1.65
- Volume
- $123.92
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $2.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.74at 0.215Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$2.96at 0.259Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$2.19at 0.321Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.79at 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$0.89at 0.088Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 14:06 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 14:06 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 14:05 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 14:05 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 03:12 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 03:08 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 03:07 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 03:06 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 02:59 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.8625 | $1.26 |
| 07-12 02:53 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6825 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 00:09 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 22:23 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 22:23 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5949998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 22:22 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5224999138 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 22:20 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | SELL | 0.9975 | $4.82 |