liverpie
0x8f1507ad836c3d86ecdc176dc8dcea63b9355fbd
- Realised P&L
- $19.61
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $177.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · No | 0.953 | 0.968 | $53.93 | +$0.81 |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027? · No | 0.983 | 0.982 | $53.03 | −$0.05 |
| Will the Anaheim Ducks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · No | 0.978 | 0.988 | $52.27 | +$0.50 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat? · Yes | 0.958 | 0.985 | $15.29 | +$0.41 |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? · No | 0.958 | 0.942 | $2.51 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.22at 0.916Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?
- +$1.85at 0.920Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
- +$1.77at 0.913Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
- +$1.51at 0.967Iran coup attempt by June 30?
- +$1.50at 0.953Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 10:15 | Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | BUY | 0.9199999829 | $21.58 |