0x8F14EB5aD30ebc52B5cd6CD94ed8BefBA2A57795-1769779554471
0x8f14eb5ad30ebc52b5cd6cd94ed8befba2a57795
- Realised P&L
- $418.66
- Volume
- $747.7k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $1.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.23 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 29? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$382.24at 0.001Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
- +$53.83at 0.190Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.14at 0.576Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$14.88at 0.871Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$13.47at 0.749Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-27 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 07-27 13:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27? | SELL | 0.674724238 | $9.30 |
| 07-27 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.7252496037 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 13:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 21:06 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7774999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:06 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:04 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:03 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.3425 | $3.79 |
| 07-19 21:03 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.24 | $5.64 |
| 07-19 19:12 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9024999982 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 18:56 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4249999894 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:48 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.1275 | $3.40 |
| 07-15 19:48 | England leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 19:14 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3749999859 | $10.00 |