949d
0x8f1163d1054b2fb5c4c5728f41e998e951657f3a
- Realised P&L
- $-97.39
- Volume
- $103.3k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $10.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $7.41 | −$126.02 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 7 2026? · No | 0.989 | 1.000 | $1.14 | +$0.01 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of September 7 2026? · No | 0.988 | 1.000 | $1.13 | +$0.01 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 7 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.13 | +$0.00 |
| Bulls vs. Pelicans · Bulls | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.68at 0.005Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$4.34at 0.974Will someone else be inaugurated?
- +$1.75at 0.984Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?
- +$0.79at 0.988Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
- +$0.73at 0.750Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 14:19 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999956 | $1.13 |
| 09-08 14:19 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999965 | $1.12 |
| 09-08 14:18 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.13 |
| 06-27 12:57 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.04 |
| 06-27 12:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.04 |
| 06-27 12:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 27? | BUY | 0.9989990778 | $1.04 |
| 05-06 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.9869999975 | $1.20 |
| 05-06 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.9899995233 | $1.35 |
| 03-06 08:25 | Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $133.43 |
| 03-06 08:25 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on March 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 08:25 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 11-24 15:40 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.005 | $31.93 |
| 11-24 15:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.56 |
| 11-24 15:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.80 |
| 11-24 15:37 | Bulls vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.6799999773 | $1.20 |