0xa871CdabA57D6cEDaaa2354252a11624F934519D-1771452648305
0x8f03a0f36e148bc81f47fc53ff53530787c0d993
- Realised P&L
- $-43.80
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $24.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bodø/Glimt win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.003 | $14.38 | −$5.62 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.013 | $10.14 | −$19.85 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.312 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.87 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.75at 0.594Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.47at 0.750Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 05:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3899999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-04 17:32 | Will Bodø/Glimt win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0034782609 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 22:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.997 | $66.46 |
| 08-01 17:19 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.032 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 17:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $50.00 |
| 07-26 12:38 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0419999984 | $25.00 |
| 07-15 14:23 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999977 | $57.00 |
| 07-11 22:05 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3125 | $46.88 |