istewart
0x8efe13d8374c64c10950751d43626b519b06ffa3
- Realised P&L
- $11.39
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $8.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.720 | $8.65 | +$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.66at 0.660Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$7.84at 0.750Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$7.54at 0.720Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
- +$5.63at 0.490Yoon arrested by Friday?
- +$2.67at 0.673Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 07:45 | Jingshan: Completed Match: Seggerman/Stevens vs Bayldon/Puttergill | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 01-31 14:50 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999298 | $13.07 |
| 01-30 14:54 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.63 |
| 01-30 14:15 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9989999897 | $34.61 |
| 01-30 12:08 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.25 |
| 12-30 17:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.26 |
| 12-30 17:24 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.11 |
| 12-30 10:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.64 |
| 12-29 22:16 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999592 | $7.68 |
| 12-29 21:11 | Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.09 |
| 10-30 20:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | BUY | 0.9859999996 | $25.27 |
| 10-30 19:35 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.99 |
| 10-30 17:56 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $23.56 |
| 09-29 18:14 | Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.76 |
| 09-29 03:44 | Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.34 |