0x8efbb217d9b3bd0a1d1c2065607ffa8cfe9bf20d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.87
- Volume
- $94.81
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $3.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.847 | 1.000 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Westchester SC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.900 | 1.000 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.390 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.620 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-09-14? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-09-13? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Jong PSV Eindhoven win on 2026-09-14? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-09-13? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET · Down | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Austin FC win on 2026-09-13? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.83at 0.533Will Cavalry FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$1.17at 0.471Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?
- +$1.12at 0.734Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?
- +$0.65at 0.614Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09?
- +$0.56at 0.527Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:54 | Will Westchester SC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:42 | Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.8469998721 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 21:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 21:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 21:10 | Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.84 |
| 09-16 21:01 | Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.068 | $0.94 |
| 09-16 21:00 | Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0719999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 21:00 | Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:50 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.8479999457 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:53 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:49 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 17:32 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:28 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.7099999503 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 19:37 | Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 19:17 | Will Jong PSV Eindhoven win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |