0x8efa1ea8ee2d456a051ae2985079a1e3c9aa894c
- Realised P&L
- $10.2k
- Volume
- $1.49M
- Markets traded
- 788
- Open portfolio
- $14.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded788
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.445 | 1.000 | $6.0k | +$3.3k |
| San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 · Over | 0.430 | 0.810 | $4.4k | +$2.1k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.500 | 0.925 | $3.7k | +$1.7k |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels · Seattle Mariners | 0.540 | 0.455 | $538.39 | −$100.58 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Miami Marlins | 0.440 | 0.525 | $130.88 | +$21.19 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.520 | 0.001 | $2.00 | −$2.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.391Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
- +$6.1kat 0.490Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5
- +$5.6kat 0.335Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$5.1kat 0.500Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
- +$4.8kat 0.283St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers