PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

daviscarrie

0x8ef2f4dfb71cb2abb9f82a80aedc21c9101da82c

Realised P&L
$48.43
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$8.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? · Yes0.9100.959$8.72+$0.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 01:15Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?BUY0.9099999099$8.28
01-31 13:54Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.999$6.28
01-31 13:44Will BNB dip to $700 in January?BUY0.999$15.45
01-30 15:12Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?BUY0.997$24.77
01-30 14:20Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?BUY0.999$62.46
01-30 12:29Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.997$38.31
12-30 12:50Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?BUY0.999$18.91
12-30 00:11Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9989999557$17.22
12-29 23:01Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?BUY0.998$12.70
12-29 19:03Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.998$29.55
10-31 01:05Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.998$21.10
10-30 22:48Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?BUY0.997$20.09
10-30 20:33Will XRP reach $3.40 in October?BUY0.999$25.60
09-29 09:14Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$13.97
09-28 23:18Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?BUY0.9939999998$19.00