0x8eecc7c52468fd85b1d27919b2984fd99d02d29e
- Realised P&L
- $-15.91
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $13.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Inde Navarrette rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.285 | $5.70 | −$3.50 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.025 | $5.50 | +$0.22 |
| Will Los Angeles Dodgers advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? · No | 0.520 | 0.060 | $1.20 | −$9.20 |
| Will Oliver Tree rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026? · No | 0.430 | 0.155 | $1.08 | −$1.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.470Will Justin Herbert have 3,849.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- +$-0.11at 0.039Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$-0.23at 0.032Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$-0.84at 0.010Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 18:04 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $4.18 |
| 09-10 18:00 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $4.29 |
| 09-10 17:51 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.031 | $2.79 |
| 09-10 17:50 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $5.28 |
| 09-10 17:44 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.032 | $2.88 |
| 09-10 17:39 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $5.06 |
| 09-10 17:36 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.031 | $4.34 |
| 09-10 17:24 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $5.28 |
| 09-10 17:21 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.032 | $4.48 |
| 09-10 13:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | SELL | 0.009 | $7.56 |
| 09-10 13:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $8.40 |