PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LaurenSteele813

0x8ee72f58d58ec4e76b3186475bcc67ba97145bec

Realised P&L
$-33.41
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
431
Open portfolio
$30.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded431
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes0.9981.000$30.75+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11? · No0.9980.000$0.00−$24.60
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 5? · No0.9990.000$0.00−$11.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 04:38Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2?BUY0.9978374856$30.70
09-28 02:55Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 28?BUY0.9979999832$24.10
09-27 22:10Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.998$30.80
09-23 21:21Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 24?BUY0.999$23.82
09-23 18:32Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 24?BUY0.999$34.50
09-23 05:29Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 23?BUY0.999$17.24
09-22 16:23Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 23?BUY0.9989999723$24.30
09-22 16:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23?BUY0.999$34.40
09-21 20:47Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 22?BUY0.999$5.60
09-19 02:09Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 19?BUY0.998$22.80
09-18 01:19Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 18?BUY0.999$33.80
09-17 11:58Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17?BUY0.999$9.10
09-13 03:00Will the highest temperature in Denver be 102°F or higher on September 13?BUY0.999$9.60
09-11 01:25Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 10?BUY0.998999965$22.20
09-10 19:39Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11?BUY0.9989999841$5.90