LaurenSteele813
0x8ee72f58d58ec4e76b3186475bcc67ba97145bec
- Realised P&L
- $-33.41
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 431
- Open portfolio
- $30.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded431
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $30.75 | +$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11? · No | 0.998 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 5? · No | 0.999 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.09at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$0.08at 0.997Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$0.06at 0.998Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?
- +$0.06at 0.998Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?
- +$0.06at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9978374856 | $30.70 |
| 09-28 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9979999832 | $24.10 |
| 09-27 22:10 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.80 |
| 09-23 21:21 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.82 |
| 09-23 18:32 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.50 |
| 09-23 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.24 |
| 09-22 16:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.9989999723 | $24.30 |
| 09-22 16:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.40 |
| 09-21 20:47 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.60 |
| 09-19 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.80 |
| 09-18 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.80 |
| 09-17 11:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.10 |
| 09-13 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 102°F or higher on September 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.60 |
| 09-11 01:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.998999965 | $22.20 |
| 09-10 19:39 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11? | BUY | 0.9989999841 | $5.90 |