PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

egas

0x8ee24691a7fe68267d0108ec8d5ebde5ea39bea6

Realised P&L
$-103.1k
Volume
$3.02M
Markets traded
190
Open portfolio
$9.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded190
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.5550.300$4.2k$3.5k
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes0.5260.350$2.2k$1.1k
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.6930.790$1.1k+$133.73
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.5940.705$662.15+$103.94
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? · OpenAI0.0800.446$326.51+$268.09
Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? · Yes0.3180.350$324.95+$29.65
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by September 30, 2027? · No0.7240.780$299.99+$21.40
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.6530.600$137.46$12.15
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7900.745$69.96$4.23
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? · Yes0.6700.770$26.58+$3.45
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$100.00
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$50.00
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$50.00
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$50.00
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? · Yes0.2640.000$0.00$57.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:29Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.6530276524$149.61
09-17 22:13Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.3183820341$393.56
09-17 22:12Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.293137912$138.20
09-17 22:11Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.2766854257$76.70
09-17 22:10Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?BUY0.3338128161$262.65
09-13 23:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.2$3.9k
09-11 22:23Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$14.00
09-11 22:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$400.00
09-11 22:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$905.00
09-11 22:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$637.00
09-11 21:31Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?SELL0.698456644$3.6k
09-11 21:31Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5935650178$51.72
09-11 21:30Will Ambient launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.46$27.92
09-11 21:30Will Prime Intellect launch a token by June 30, 2027?SELL0.68$30.57
09-11 21:30OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?SELL0.88$27.88