egas
0x8ee24691a7fe68267d0108ec8d5ebde5ea39bea6
- Realised P&L
- $-103.1k
- Volume
- $3.02M
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $9.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.5kat 0.669Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$31.8kat 0.632Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$8.2kat 0.666SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
- +$7.4kat 0.501Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
- +$6.9kat 0.665Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:29 | Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6530276524 | $149.61 |
| 09-17 22:13 | Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3183820341 | $393.56 |
| 09-17 22:12 | Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.293137912 | $138.20 |
| 09-17 22:11 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2766854257 | $76.70 |
| 09-17 22:10 | Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3338128161 | $262.65 |
| 09-13 23:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.9k |
| 09-11 22:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $14.00 |
| 09-11 22:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $400.00 |
| 09-11 22:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $905.00 |
| 09-11 22:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $637.00 |
| 09-11 21:31 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.698456644 | $3.6k |
| 09-11 21:31 | Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5935650178 | $51.72 |
| 09-11 21:30 | Will Ambient launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.46 | $27.92 |
| 09-11 21:30 | Will Prime Intellect launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.68 | $30.57 |
| 09-11 21:30 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | SELL | 0.88 | $27.88 |