WAVE
0x8ed4a50cc733293df432318551c57179d086366a
- Realised P&L
- $14.4k
- Volume
- $380.3k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.105 | $1.1k | −$5.00 |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.015 | $38.31 | −$364.74 |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? · No | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.1kat 0.377Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
- +$2.7kat 0.592Falcons vs. Buccaneers
- +$1.6kat 0.610Eagles vs. Giants
- +$1.5kat 0.460Jets vs. Cardinals
- +$1.4kat 0.670Lions vs. Texans
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 01:43 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.106 | $258.84 |
| 04-21 23:56 | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | BUY | 0.004 | $320.00 |
| 04-21 23:47 | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | BUY | 0.007 | $14.51 |
| 04-21 23:45 | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | BUY | 0.009 | $13.17 |
| 04-21 23:44 | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | BUY | 0.009 | $396.04 |
| 04-21 23:36 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.102383001 | $1.0k |
| 04-21 23:35 | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | BUY | 0.008 | $131.60 |
| 04-21 23:32 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.1048551979 | $356.65 |
| 03-19 23:44 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1189999998 | $500.00 |
| 03-19 23:44 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1189999998 | $500.00 |
| 03-19 23:40 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1189999996 | $250.00 |
| 03-19 23:39 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1189664463 | $250.00 |
| 03-06 21:38 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.097 | $97.00 |
| 07-13 00:19 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SELL | 0.25 | $788.31 |
| 06-22 04:21 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.145 | $362.50 |