PolyBot

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Traders

WAVE

0x8ed4a50cc733293df432318551c57179d086366a

Realised P&L
$14.4k
Volume
$380.3k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1060.105$1.1k$5.00
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · Yes0.1580.015$38.31$364.74
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? · No0.0060.000$0.00$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 01:43Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.106$258.84
04-21 23:56Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?BUY0.004$320.00
04-21 23:47Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?BUY0.007$14.51
04-21 23:45Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?BUY0.009$13.17
04-21 23:44Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?BUY0.009$396.04
04-21 23:36Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.102383001$1.0k
04-21 23:35Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?BUY0.008$131.60
04-21 23:32Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1048551979$356.65
03-19 23:44Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1189999998$500.00
03-19 23:44Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1189999998$500.00
03-19 23:40Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1189999996$250.00
03-19 23:39Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1189664463$250.00
03-06 21:38Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.097$97.00
07-13 00:19Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?SELL0.25$788.31
06-22 04:21Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.145$362.50