PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

icecode

0x8ecde64de7886fb364a79c002d6efa494dd484b4

Realised P&L
$-66.17
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$150.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.952$15.11+$0.50
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.7501.000$15.00+$3.75
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8800.935$14.03+$0.82
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7900.895$13.43+$1.57
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.3101.000$10.00+$6.90
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04? · Yes0.7401.000$10.00+$2.60
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.3601.000$10.00+$6.40
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.0801.000$10.00+$9.20
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.6001.000$10.00+$4.00
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.3101.000$10.00+$6.90
Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.9201.000$10.00+$0.80
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5100.675$6.75+$1.65
Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes0.4000.374$5.62$0.38
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3000.325$3.25+$0.25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4400.305$3.05$1.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-09 13:59Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?BUY0.9883333333$14.82
04-09 13:59Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.988$14.80
04-09 13:59Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 9?BUY0.95$14.15
04-09 13:59Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 10?BUY0.98$14.66
04-09 13:11Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?SELL0.61$7.81
04-09 13:11Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.38$13.30
04-09 13:11Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?SELL0.016$1.20
04-09 13:11Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.016$1.23
04-09 13:11Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?SELL0.3881395349$16.69
04-09 13:11Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.08$1.60
04-09 13:11Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.41$12.30
04-04 13:34Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?BUY0.98$14.66
04-04 13:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?BUY0.949$14.13
04-04 13:34Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?BUY0.97$5.93
04-04 13:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5?BUY0.98$14.66