icecode
0x8ecde64de7886fb364a79c002d6efa494dd484b4
- Realised P&L
- $-66.17
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $150.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.95at 0.070Will Jim Parillo win the Legend Trade Series?
- +$8.16at 0.727Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?
- +$7.76at 0.741Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5?
- +$7.76at 0.741Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 10?
- +$7.76at 0.741Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 13:59 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? | BUY | 0.9883333333 | $14.82 |
| 04-09 13:59 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $14.80 |
| 04-09 13:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $14.15 |
| 04-09 13:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.66 |
| 04-09 13:11 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $7.81 |
| 04-09 13:11 | Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.38 | $13.30 |
| 04-09 13:11 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? | SELL | 0.016 | $1.20 |
| 04-09 13:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.016 | $1.23 |
| 04-09 13:11 | Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | SELL | 0.3881395349 | $16.69 |
| 04-09 13:11 | Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 04-09 13:11 | Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.41 | $12.30 |
| 04-04 13:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.66 |
| 04-04 13:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6? | BUY | 0.949 | $14.13 |
| 04-04 13:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.93 |
| 04-04 13:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.66 |