0x8ECDd43414DE16fbac4002c4D76E21d4BF0A5512-1761014203077
0x8ecdd43414de16fbac4002c4d76e21d4bf0a5512
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $176.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.96at 0.583UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$22.14at 0.318Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
- +$20.13at 0.690UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$9.22at 0.788Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
- +$8.60at 0.431Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 04:37 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3527285395 | $55.43 |
| 08-17 04:34 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.157447233 | $14.99 |
| 08-12 06:28 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1893597829 | $200.00 |
| 07-18 22:05 | Spread: England (-5.5) | BUY | 0.0919999918 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 22:05 | Spread: England (-4.5) | BUY | 0.2529999918 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 22:04 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0792076568 | $24.00 |
| 07-18 22:02 | Spread: England (-5.5) | BUY | 0.1389462704 | $30.00 |
| 07-15 19:20 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3649999955 | $45.00 |
| 07-15 17:54 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5449999981 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 17:45 | Argentina to score first vs. England? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 17:45 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.362499999 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 00:31 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1029999973 | $31.21 |
| 07-11 22:21 | Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4299999935 | $24.97 |
| 07-11 22:20 | Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4499999983 | $40.00 |
| 07-11 22:19 | Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.45 | $66.47 |