PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8ECDd43414DE16fbac4002c4D76E21d4BF0A5512-1761014203077

0x8ecdd43414de16fbac4002c4d76e21d4bf0a5512

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$8.2k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$176.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)29.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1870.115$132.41$82.58
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3530.280$44.00$11.43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$12.00
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? · No0.3070.000$0.00$271.34
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5 · Over0.4420.000$0.00$64.97
Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes0.3630.000$0.00$145.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? · No0.1700.000$0.00$20.40
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No0.5000.000$0.00$20.00
Spread: England (-5.5) · England0.1230.000$0.00$40.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$5.00
Spread: England (-4.5) · England0.2530.000$0.00$20.00
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England0.5450.000$0.00$20.00
Argentina to score first vs. England? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 04:37Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3527285395$55.43
08-17 04:34Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.157447233$14.99
08-12 06:28Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1893597829$200.00
07-18 22:05Spread: England (-5.5)BUY0.0919999918$10.00
07-18 22:05Spread: England (-4.5)BUY0.2529999918$20.00
07-18 22:04Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0792076568$24.00
07-18 22:02Spread: England (-5.5)BUY0.1389462704$30.00
07-15 19:20Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3649999955$45.00
07-15 17:54England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5449999981$20.00
07-15 17:45Argentina to score first vs. England?BUY0.4399999975$50.00
07-15 17:45Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.362499999$100.00
07-13 00:31Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1029999973$31.21
07-11 22:21Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5BUY0.4299999935$24.97
07-11 22:20Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5BUY0.4499999983$40.00
07-11 22:19Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5SELL0.45$66.47