0x8ECDd43414DE16fbac4002c4D76E21d4BF0A5512-1761014203077
0x8ecdd43414de16fbac4002c4d76e21d4bf0a5512
- Realised P&L
- $-942.43
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $46.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.353 | 0.295 | $46.36 | −$9.07 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? · No | 0.307 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$271.34 |
| Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.442 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.97 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.363 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$145.00 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? · No | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.40 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: England (-5.5) · England | 0.123 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: England (-4.5) · England | 0.253 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England | 0.545 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Argentina to score first vs. England? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.96at 0.583UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$22.14at 0.318Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
- +$20.13at 0.690UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$9.22at 0.788Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
- +$8.60at 0.431Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:58 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0801632766 | $92.30 |
| 08-17 04:37 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3527285395 | $55.43 |
| 08-17 04:34 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.157447233 | $14.99 |
| 08-12 06:28 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1893597829 | $200.00 |
| 07-18 22:05 | Spread: England (-5.5) | BUY | 0.0919999918 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 22:05 | Spread: England (-4.5) | BUY | 0.2529999918 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 22:04 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0792076568 | $24.00 |
| 07-18 22:02 | Spread: England (-5.5) | BUY | 0.1389462704 | $30.00 |
| 07-15 19:20 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3649999955 | $45.00 |
| 07-15 17:54 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5449999981 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 17:45 | Argentina to score first vs. England? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 17:45 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.362499999 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 00:31 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1029999973 | $31.21 |
| 07-11 22:21 | Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4299999935 | $24.97 |
| 07-11 22:20 | Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4499999983 | $40.00 |