rfvt67
0x8ec962bb60760925b028a39fa4fec9d5b1f0c314
- Realised P&L
- $4.54
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $226.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the WV-02 House seat? · No | 0.961 | 0.968 | $149.07 | +$1.08 |
| Another Canada election called by June 30? · No | 0.994 | 1.000 | $77.00 | +$0.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.97at 0.976Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- +$0.93at 0.969Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$0.51at 0.950Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
- +$0.51at 0.950Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.42at 0.961Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-10 08:24 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.973 | $19.46 |