okollo
0x8ec36c701a72b1fb546c1893738f9830c977a081
- Realised P&L
- $-133.32
- Volume
- $67.4k
- Markets traded
- 349
- Open portfolio
- $6.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded349
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.92at 0.172Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?
- +$115.65at 0.266Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 19?
- +$94.11at 0.241Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?
- +$92.16at 0.112Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?
- +$91.81at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 10-08 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 10-08 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 10-08 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 10-08 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-08 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-07 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.0472306104 | $1.60 |
| 10-07 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.0854545455 | $4.70 |
| 09-28 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 09-15 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-14 22:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.22 |
| 09-14 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.80 |
| 09-12 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.0918705344 | $6.43 |
| 09-11 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 09-10 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |