La.Granja
0x8ec2e8e3e239c422875d5e0c70e62052e769be5c
- Realised P&L
- $3.96
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $7.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? · Yes | 0.289 | 0.483 | $4.83 | +$1.94 |
| Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.180 | $1.80 | −$0.40 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.355 | $0.83 | −$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.36at 0.217Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.07at 0.177Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.23at 0.142Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.78at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$5.90at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 05:44 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4499998714 | $1.05 |
| 10-29 05:43 | Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.289 | $2.89 |
| 10-29 05:42 | Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 08-06 01:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999532 | $1.86 |
| 08-01 02:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 02:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $1.72 |
| 08-01 02:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 02:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 02:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 02:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 02:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 02:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.83 |
| 07-16 01:02 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.421 | $21.05 |
| 07-15 01:24 | Solana Up or Down - July 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.31 |
| 07-15 01:22 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $29.04 |