PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dorktown

0x8ebfa07c630a0da8cc70aa2b492bb32fb4273351

Realised P&L
$51.37
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up0.5070.000$0.00−$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Down0.5080.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Up0.5180.000$0.00−$10.00
Sharks vs. Oilers · Sharks0.4100.000$0.00−$5.00
SHL: Luleaa vs. Froelunda HC · Froelunda HC0.5170.000$0.00−$100.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.2830.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Up0.8730.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00−$49.00
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres · Maple Leafs0.3400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Down0.2930.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET · Down0.2620.000$0.00−$10.00
SHL: Froelunda HC vs. Luleaa · Froelunda HC0.6300.000$0.00−$222.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET · Up0.1950.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 10:18SHL: Frölunda HC vs. DjurgårdenBUY0.7381406979$31.76
07-09 19:45Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.25$5.00
07-09 19:38Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.25$8.00
07-09 19:36Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.25$55.00
07-09 19:35Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6149999989$200.00
07-07 21:58Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.6099999927$20.00
07-07 21:56Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?SELL0.999$103.02
07-07 18:07Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.4299999985$100.00
07-07 18:06Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?BUY0.32$33.00
07-07 16:23Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.2999999936$28.00
07-07 16:22Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.4799999981$50.00
07-07 14:34Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.2$21.00
07-07 14:34Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.7399999988$100.00
07-06 19:03Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.2799999969$50.00
07-06 19:03Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.4899999991$100.00