0x8ebF67A64Cd1d7D116969FfbEACCd0EC87Fea0FB-1768052980245
0x8ebf67a64cd1d7d116969ffbeaccd0ec87fea0fb
- Realised P&L
- $-229.36
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $109.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.15at 0.270US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$82.57at 0.037Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$74.29at 0.350Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$50.71at 0.290Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
- +$48.82at 0.170Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 11:19 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | BUY | 0.0069259752 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 11:17 | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 11:17 | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 11:15 | Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $20.00 |
| 10-18 11:14 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election? | BUY | 0.9259999997 | $66.00 |
| 10-18 11:12 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $30.00 |
| 05-16 22:51 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.306 | $8.87 |
| 05-16 21:24 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0689999685 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 21:24 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.2505614771 | $4.00 |
| 05-16 21:23 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.4959999767 | $8.00 |
| 05-15 23:01 | Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.005999994 | $1.00 |
| 05-15 23:00 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.034999989 | $3.00 |
| 05-04 19:24 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.4264772558 | $50.00 |
| 05-04 19:22 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? | BUY | 0.7099999964 | $54.00 |
| 04-28 21:15 | Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0391198044 | $4.00 |