zhocuiw
0x8ebbeda80eda4e5b7c34cbdae44766b7b07423ca
- Realised P&L
- $-397.85
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $101.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.145 | $101.13 | −$428.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.54at 0.902Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?
- +$25.17at 0.580Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$18.28at 0.840Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.71at 0.983Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$1.44at 0.995Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-24 15:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.984 | $282.10 |
| 11-22 02:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November? | BUY | 0.995 | $477.53 |
| 11-14 04:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November? | SELL | 0.81 | $477.54 |