h3h393
0x8eb4600b83694f5093c8c83709ea6b41e1a16529
- Realised P&L
- $239.61
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $604.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.03at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
- +$42.38at 0.597Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
- +$15.88at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$6.23at 0.253Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$6.17at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 17:29 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.16 | $28.00 |
| 08-31 17:27 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.1896031225 | $30.00 |
| 08-30 14:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.5799999964 | $61.00 |
| 08-26 10:16 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.4899999989 | $219.46 |
| 08-20 14:46 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.4499999963 | $54.55 |
| 08-14 14:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 15:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 14:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 14:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 14:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 14:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |