PolyBot

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Traders

h3h393

0x8eb4600b83694f5093c8c83709ea6b41e1a16529

Realised P&L
$239.61
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$604.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? · No0.4810.997$567.39+$293.38
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1600.145$25.38$2.63
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1900.075$11.87$18.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Up0.0340.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Down0.0240.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.0520.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 17:29Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.16$28.00
08-31 17:27Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.1896031225$30.00
08-30 14:43Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?BUY0.5799999964$61.00
08-26 10:16Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?BUY0.4899999989$219.46
08-20 14:46Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?BUY0.4499999963$54.55
08-14 14:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.5599999776$5.00
07-28 15:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.25$10.00
07-28 15:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.3799999833$10.00
07-28 14:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.4399999648$5.00
07-28 14:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.4799999808$5.00
07-28 14:22Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.94$2.00
07-28 14:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.4199999454$2.00
07-28 14:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.459999885$2.00
07-28 14:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.2699999163$2.00
07-28 14:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.2399999184$2.00