orbitx.
0x8eb14defbad2b7463e854b3fe6179164c3cc6800
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $27.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $481.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.359 | 0.075 | $317.42 | −$1.2k |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.051 | $164.24 | −$337.07 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-420.17at 0.100Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-23 21:58 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.016 | $79.83 |
| 02-21 05:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3914039469 | $998.98 |
| 02-06 05:19 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1632610581 | $283.77 |
| 02-05 06:44 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $209.21 |
| 02-04 23:40 | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 02-03 01:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.31 | $520.80 |
| 02-03 01:33 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.1002100402 | $500.00 |
| 01-30 00:13 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.0269999987 | $20.00 |
| 01-11 23:30 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $2.0k |