OskarG
0x8eae02e1aa875fe26346c80a90939aac68f45734
- Realised P&L
- $-225.93
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $95.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.016 | $95.36 | −$44.14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Down | 0.184 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.79 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Down | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Up | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.91at 0.382Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$2.99at 0.773Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$-0.13at 0.005Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$-0.25at 0.007Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$-209.57at 0.341Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 19:05 | Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.023 | $83.05 |
| 10-19 19:04 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.146 | $89.65 |
| 10-19 13:58 | Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0240328065 | $56.46 |
| 10-19 13:58 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1430516546 | $61.04 |
| 09-12 17:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 17:42 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.34455104 | $300.00 |
| 09-11 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 20:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $1.80 |
| 09-11 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.0925651659 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |