PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

LastOrder

0x8ead02ce460b8173074db5f350a7d4d39ee5f333

Realised P&L
$-578.37
Volume
$51.7k
Markets traded
339
Open portfolio
$276.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded339
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Leavitt say "Xi" or "Jinping" during the next White House Press Briefing? · No0.7200.745$46.56+$1.56
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in August? · No0.7600.765$45.30+$0.30
Will Elon post "Deport" or "Deported" on X this week? · Yes0.2100.505$30.71+$17.94
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? · No0.4660.465$20.09$0.04
Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in August? · No0.7900.390$11.84$12.15
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · No0.7000.785$11.21+$1.21
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · No0.7000.495$10.04$4.16
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? · No0.8500.825$8.25$0.25
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · No0.8000.325$7.94$11.61
Will Trump post "Pope" on Truth Social this week? · Yes0.1200.135$7.32+$0.81
Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 265M? · Yes0.3500.275$7.22$1.97
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31? · Yes0.3600.205$7.15$5.41
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.175T by August 31? · No0.2600.105$6.85$10.11
Will Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing? · No0.4500.235$6.80$6.22
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes0.1800.105$6.14$4.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 13:38Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by August 31?SELL0.2$17.31
08-02 13:00Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.45$2.33
08-02 12:22Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.46$4.60
08-02 08:55Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in August?SELL0.62$21.21
08-02 08:50Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in August?SELL0.62$12.40
08-02 04:30Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in August?SELL0.61$12.20
08-02 04:30Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in August?SELL0.61$4.02
08-02 02:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?SELL0.09$4.65
08-02 01:57Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 265M?SELL0.39$1.95
08-01 21:17Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.35$1.54
08-01 13:17Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in August?SELL0.41$22.98
08-01 13:17Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?SELL0.33$24.34
08-01 12:34Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?SELL0.42$16.07
08-01 05:26Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.58$42.79
08-01 05:03Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 265M?SELL0.44$2.20