LastOrder
0x8ead02ce460b8173074db5f350a7d4d39ee5f333
- Realised P&L
- $-578.37
- Volume
- $51.7k
- Markets traded
- 339
- Open portfolio
- $276.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded339
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$404.67at 0.339Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?
- +$303.37at 0.324Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 4?
- +$112.38at 0.182Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 9?
- +$98.44at 0.430Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?
- +$48.70at 0.358US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:38 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by August 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $17.31 |
| 08-02 13:00 | Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.33 |
| 08-02 12:22 | Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 08-02 08:55 | Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in August? | SELL | 0.62 | $21.21 |
| 08-02 08:50 | Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in August? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 08-02 04:30 | Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in August? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 08-02 04:30 | Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in August? | SELL | 0.61 | $4.02 |
| 08-02 02:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.65 |
| 08-02 01:57 | Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 265M? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-01 21:17 | Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.54 |
| 08-01 13:17 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in August? | SELL | 0.41 | $22.98 |
| 08-01 13:17 | Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August? | SELL | 0.33 | $24.34 |
| 08-01 12:34 | Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.42 | $16.07 |
| 08-01 05:26 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.58 | $42.79 |
| 08-01 05:03 | Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 265M? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |