PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Lutzz

0x8eac8fb705b60197a3395bf9af2d45ec8a483600

Realised P&L
$-8.3k
Volume
$2.06M
Markets traded
377
Open portfolio
$98.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded377
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0670.029$98.23$124.17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027? · No0.4480.000$0.00$1.1k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.2250.000$0.00$315.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$27.07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.6700.000$0.00$1.3k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.4000.000$0.00$40.00
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? · No0.0020.000$0.00$59.99
Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$34.95
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · No0.4100.000$0.00$369.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$15.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$24.40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.9420.000$0.00$1.1k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$104.88
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.0670.000$0.00$10.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 07:37Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?SELL0.03$0.59
09-10 13:59Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2SELL0.5$779.36
09-06 21:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.999$99.90
08-30 06:14Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2SELL0.52$21.66
08-30 06:13Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2SELL0.53$21.20
08-21 09:45Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?SELL0.0018387968$36.78
07-19 21:58Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0674999938$10.00
05-23 17:18Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2SELL0.62$54.56
05-22 21:22NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?SELL0.95$202.00
05-22 21:21NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?SELL0.951$104.61
05-22 21:20NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?SELL0.952$37.57
05-22 18:55NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?SELL0.953$124.11
05-22 18:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.92$184.00
05-22 18:49Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?SELL0.983$147.45
05-22 15:15US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?SELL0.962$192.40