new-luck
0x8eac7e280c27d0a5ec8ee18b7294b404f6c2db7a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $335.2k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $362.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13?
- +$6.4kat 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?
- +$4.2kat 0.003Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?
- +$4.2kat 0.113Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13?
- +$2.5kat 0.830Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 17:54 | Will Gibraltar vs. São Tomé e Príncipe end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9584718243 | $94.08 |
| 09-23 16:59 | LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Pyramid IV Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-23 15:44 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7435843063 | $23.41 |
| 09-23 15:19 | Maple Leafs vs. Senators | BUY | 0.5566183494 | $16.46 |
| 09-23 14:56 | LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.1610952371 | $7.96 |
| 09-23 14:37 | Counter-Strike: EXODIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.12 | $8.13 |
| 09-23 14:24 | Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2830818087 | $11.88 |
| 09-23 14:19 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.9699999992 | $24.24 |
| 09-23 14:18 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.94 | $92.12 |
| 09-23 13:51 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $75.46 |
| 09-23 13:41 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.1699999996 | $16.92 |
| 09-23 13:41 | LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.782430765 | $75.46 |
| 09-23 13:30 | Dota 2: Cake Team vs Daxak Team - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.539999784 | $1.10 |
| 09-23 13:22 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.56 | $54.88 |
| 09-23 12:45 | LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs ØTF - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7699999975 | $62.63 |