qwevk
0x8ea2fcacffb9ef2d3137a191ac86edc0897aaf72
- Realised P&L
- $-5.57
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $2.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.115 | $1.45 | +$0.44 |
| Will the New York Rangers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.026 | $0.97 | −$0.05 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.018 | $0.02 | −$0.00 |
| Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.03 |
| Will Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 27? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.05 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 27? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.04at 0.050Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 in June?
- +$-0.10at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 38°C on June 27?
- +$-0.16at 0.050Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
- +$-0.18at 0.033Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.32at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 20:33 | Will the New York Rangers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.0279999736 | $1.02 |
| 06-27 20:24 | Will Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.84 |
| 06-27 20:23 | Will Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0069999931 | $1.01 |
| 06-25 22:10 | Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.84 |
| 06-25 22:10 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 in June? | SELL | 0.048 | $0.96 |
| 06-25 22:10 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 in June? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.01 |
| 06-25 22:09 | Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.01 |
| 06-25 21:54 | Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.01 |
| 06-25 21:50 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.22 |
| 06-25 21:50 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999822 | $1.01 |
| 06-25 21:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.55 |
| 06-25 21:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 21:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 21:38 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 06-25 21:38 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30? | BUY | 0.1069999092 | $1.01 |