PeggyBest5668
0x8e9eecc75d3dee42eb15a7564a05c4f099c2bd49
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $153.7k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $0.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.290 | $0.87 | −$0.87 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.046 | $0.05 | −$0.44 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.040 | $0.04 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$844.80at 0.200Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
- +$279.30at 0.300Ethereum ETF Flows on February 17?
- +$235.56at 0.240Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 1)
- +$224.00at 0.130Will Trump post "Free Tina Peters" on Truth Social this week?
- +$211.03at 0.530Will the US strike Somalia next?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 15:09 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.77 | $99.33 |
| 04-12 15:03 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.77 | $287.21 |
| 04-11 23:37 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $637.56 |
| 04-11 06:32 | Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08? | SELL | 0.1 | $19.60 |
| 04-11 06:31 | Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08? | SELL | 0.08 | $36.80 |
| 04-10 19:39 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $366.46 |
| 04-08 04:18 | Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08? | BUY | 0.88 | $577.28 |
| 04-07 22:31 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $656.04 |
| 03-30 14:25 | Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 10-15%? | SELL | 0.71 | $628.35 |
| 03-30 14:01 | Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m? | SELL | 0.166 | $4.98 |
| 03-29 20:52 | Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 10-15%? | BUY | 0.76 | $672.60 |
| 03-25 16:24 | Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? | SELL | 0.26 | $87.62 |
| 03-25 16:23 | Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? | SELL | 0.26 | $14.04 |
| 03-25 16:19 | Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? | SELL | 0.26 | $90.22 |
| 03-25 04:19 | Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? | BUY | 0.26 | $191.88 |