cvhy78
0x8e9232fb354c79aa00cd6d67c282e07d3e4eeae8
- Realised P&L
- $-279.67
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $41.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.955 | 0.975 | $22.14 | +$0.45 |
| Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.880 | 0.915 | $10.06 | +$0.39 |
| Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.890 | 0.905 | $9.05 | +$0.15 |
| Rockets vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$274.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.70at 0.967Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
- +$0.58at 0.983Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?
- +$0.49at 0.985Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$0.46at 0.586Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.34at 0.829Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-24 10:24 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 02-24 10:24 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.89 |
| 02-24 10:23 | Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 10:23 | Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.57 |
| 02-24 10:17 | Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 10:16 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 10:15 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 10:15 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.9548401928 | $21.69 |
| 11-19 03:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.981 | $25.51 |
| 09-30 13:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.967 | $35.08 |
| 04-24 11:19 | Will Solana reach $300 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.19 |
| 04-24 11:19 | Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.964 | $19.68 |
| 04-24 11:18 | Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.958 | $11.62 |
| 04-24 11:18 | Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.89 |
| 02-14 13:54 | Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9829999998 | $11.93 |