420126oct18
0x8e8f001660d89dedf27948baf609e32870c20789
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $281.00
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $274.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 19-25? · No | 0.986 | 0.988 | $148.13 | +$0.23 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? · No | 0.990 | 0.991 | $99.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.845 | $17.75 | −$0.32 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 19-25? · No | 0.985 | 0.994 | $9.94 | +$0.10 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 04:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 10-19 04:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.988 | $49.40 |
| 10-19 04:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.984 | $4.92 |
| 10-18 15:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $9.57 |