kerabatcua
0x8e8ece02f09e245b4e728f072f5d46c9098f695f
- Realised P&L
- $-151.93
- Volume
- $60.4k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $24.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $14.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · No | 0.994 | 0.997 | $5.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.986 | 0.982 | $4.98 | −$0.02 |
| Grizzlies vs. Suns · Suns | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
| Seahawks vs. Titans · Seahawks | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.916 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15? · No | 0.962 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.57at 0.749Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
- +$1.05at 0.950Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?
- +$0.81at 0.983 Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$0.71at 0.810Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$0.40at 0.962Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 04:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9939998195 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 08-24 02:14 | Seahawks vs. Titans | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 02:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.00 |
| 08-08 08:04 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in August? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 08-08 08:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.00 |
| 08-08 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.00 |
| 07-30 13:00 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9159999707 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.20 |
| 07-22 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.9929999448 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 02:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 02:10 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.992 | $12.00 |
| 07-04 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15? | BUY | 0.9619999997 | $33.00 |
| 06-04 10:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | BUY | 0.9259999833 | $3.00 |