PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

set-631

0x8e870bd24d41da95fbdd798308d627ff9819d658

Realised P&L
$-423.05
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$273.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2530.325$248.40+$55.18
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5120.595$20.10+$2.79
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8800.915$5.09+$0.19
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$50.87
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$5.13
Will a Democrat win Kansas Presidential Election? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$19.99
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$5.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3120.000$0.00$184.11
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · No0.3600.000$0.00$20.00
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House · No0.6440.000$0.00$25.00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4110.000$0.00$134.87
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$10.00
Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska US Senate Election? · Yes0.2090.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 20:03Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2528081435$193.22
07-07 05:48Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2399999968$50.87
07-07 00:21Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.16$25.00
07-06 23:25Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3699999984$85.00
07-06 22:26Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3699999913$24.11
07-06 02:35Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3599999977$50.00
05-26 04:52US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?SELL0.981$12.41
05-26 04:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.9654872832$124.13
05-03 22:052026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4899999772$7.31
04-17 04:342026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.88$4.90
04-17 04:332026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5299999899$10.00
04-17 04:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.3499999895$20.00
04-17 04:30US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.7699999877$10.00
04-17 04:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.349999993$25.00
04-17 04:27US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.5899999947$10.00