alloune327
0x8e828cc4b05fae04a2a181c0e94abf1ab81c06c9
- Realised P&L
- $-5.21
- Volume
- $23.58
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-22.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.850 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 11? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 11? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 12? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on September 11? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 11? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11? · No | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.94at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 11?
- +$0.94at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 11?
- +$0.17at 0.856Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 21:05 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 20:58 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on September 11? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 20:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 20:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 20:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |