RonaldFrank
0x8e7896e138e2c16334a39244c01191d9e59f5caf
- Realised P&L
- $-207.77
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $31.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO dissolves before 2027? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.015 | $31.99 | −$168.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$385.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.51at 0.230Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$111.32at 0.380Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$73.64at 0.248US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$72.58at 0.310US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$26.40at 0.307Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-01 09:19 | NATO dissolves before 2027? | BUY | 0.1094258584 | $100.00 |
| 03-17 15:23 | NATO dissolves before 2027? | BUY | 0.0773717587 | $100.00 |
| 03-10 17:29 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.107 | $25.18 |
| 03-10 17:29 | NATO dissolves before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $25.00 |
| 03-10 17:29 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.170330551 | $50.91 |
| 03-02 11:04 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $131.31 |
| 01-16 14:14 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $4.96 |
| 01-14 19:46 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $201.50 |
| 01-14 19:44 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.58 | $201.50 |
| 01-14 19:42 | US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $385.40 |
| 01-14 19:40 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.6630326039 | $362.39 |
| 01-14 11:16 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999987 | $100.00 |
| 01-14 11:15 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $122.58 |
| 01-14 11:13 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999976 | $65.00 |
| 01-14 11:12 | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $63.26 |