0x8e6fe71a76D3368a4ca24dF4dF34e5193Ea467E3-1772228015915
0x8e6fe71a76d3368a4ca24df4df34e5193ea467e3
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $589.9k
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $74.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.244Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
- +$998.99at 0.001Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
- +$538.47at 0.029US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
- +$422.28at 0.165Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
- +$392.62at 0.710Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:44 | Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.52 |
| 07-22 02:56 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 02:55 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:12 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.250162703 | $92.25 |
| 07-19 14:51 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.408 | $300.92 |
| 07-15 20:06 | Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.014 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 18:22 | Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0110000001 | $3.00 |
| 07-14 20:14 | Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.0489999955 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 20:13 | Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.0339999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 23:36 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 23:16 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 23:13 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 23:00 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.0125 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 21:13 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.0210000001 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 21:12 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.0370000003 | $5.00 |