PolyBot

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Traders

0x8e6fe71a76D3368a4ca24dF4dF34e5193Ea467E3-1772228015915

0x8e6fe71a76d3368a4ca24df4df34e5193ea467e3

Realised P&L
$2.8k
Volume
$589.9k
Markets traded
316
Open portfolio
$74.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded316
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.031$13.80+$12.46
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.040$13.56+$12.53
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3280.128$12.75−$20.05
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3100.115$11.50−$19.50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2700.055$11.00−$43.00
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.013$4.29+$3.26
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.013$4.09+$3.18
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0320.006$1.47−$6.37
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0200.002$1.02−$9.38
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0050.015$0.60+$0.40
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0300.003$0.43−$4.77
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0080.001$0.43−$6.39
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$2.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 20 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 20:44Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?BUY0.003$0.52
07-22 02:56Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.002$2.00
07-22 02:55Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-19 21:12Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.250162703$92.25
07-19 14:51Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.408$300.92
07-15 20:06Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.014$5.00
07-15 18:22Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0110000001$3.00
07-14 20:14Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?BUY0.0489999955$10.00
07-14 20:13Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?BUY0.0339999966$10.00
07-11 23:36Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.009$2.00
07-11 23:16Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$2.00
07-11 23:13Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.02$10.00
07-11 23:00Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.0125$2.00
07-11 21:13Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?BUY0.0210000001$5.00
07-11 21:12Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?BUY0.0370000003$5.00