Giar
0x8e6ed796b7983dacae2c8fc5315229b40d1b2259
- Realised P&L
- $-318.03
- Volume
- $27.7k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $5.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.21at 0.249Will Artemis II launch by February 28?
- +$103.68at 0.543Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?
- +$100.78at 0.198Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?
- +$56.91at 0.367Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
- +$27.00at 0.100Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 22:14 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026? | BUY | 0.0976205003 | $4.00 |
| 06-22 22:14 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 17:08 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 06:22 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 21:00 | Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 17:24 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.0449999575 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 21:44 | Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 16:58 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 16:58 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 06-13 21:16 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 21:15 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026? | BUY | 0.0359999663 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 20:49 | Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 20:48 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.50 |
| 05-27 17:46 | Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 05-27 00:51 | Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |