PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Giar

0x8e6ed796b7983dacae2c8fc5315229b40d1b2259

Realised P&L
$-318.03
Volume
$27.7k
Markets traded
143
Open portfolio
$5.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded143
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Obama divorce before 2027? · Yes0.1200.040$1.67$3.33
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes0.0650.045$1.38$0.62
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? · Yes0.1900.081$0.76$1.04
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes0.0900.038$0.43$0.57
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? · Yes0.0800.034$0.42$0.58
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0050.002$0.30$0.70
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0410.003$0.29$3.71
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.1100.013$0.25$1.75
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$7.00
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$30.00
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026? · Yes0.1860.000$0.00$20.00
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$4.00
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 22:14Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?BUY0.0976205003$4.00
06-22 22:14Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
06-21 17:08Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
06-17 06:22Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
06-16 21:00Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY0.008$2.00
06-15 17:24Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.0449999575$1.00
06-14 21:44Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
06-14 16:58Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?BUY0.299999925$2.00
06-14 16:58Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?BUY0.3$3.00
06-13 21:16Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?BUY0.119999952$2.00
06-13 21:15Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026?BUY0.0359999663$1.00
06-13 20:49Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.05$1.00
06-13 20:48Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?SELL0.14$3.50
05-27 17:46Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
05-27 00:51Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00