PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Giar

0x8e6ed796b7983dacae2c8fc5315229b40d1b2259

Realised P&L
$-313.26
Volume
$28.0k
Markets traded
143
Open portfolio
$4.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded143
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes0.0650.049$1.49−$0.51
Obama divorce before 2027? · Yes0.1200.026$1.10−$3.90
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? · Yes0.1900.081$0.76−$1.04
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? · Yes0.0800.035$0.44−$0.56
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes0.0900.017$0.19−$0.81
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.1100.002$0.03−$1.97
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00−$7.00
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$30.00
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026? · Yes0.1860.000$0.00−$20.00
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$4.00
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 11:28Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.001$0.20
08-09 11:27Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.001$0.10
06-22 22:14Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?BUY0.0976205003$4.00
06-22 22:14Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
06-21 17:08Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
06-17 06:22Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
06-16 21:00Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY0.008$2.00
06-15 17:24Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.0449999575$1.00
06-14 21:44Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
06-14 16:58Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?BUY0.299999925$2.00
06-14 16:58Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?BUY0.3$3.00
06-13 21:16Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?BUY0.119999952$2.00
06-13 21:15Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026?BUY0.0359999663$1.00
06-13 20:49Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.05$1.00
06-13 20:48Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?SELL0.14$3.50