0x8e6EB22A04812eb482fbD63EEc06B6408EFFA9Db-1761689906043
0x8e6eb22a04812eb482fbd63eec06b6408effa9db
- Realised P&L
- $318.82
- Volume
- $995.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,861
- Open portfolio
- $24.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,861
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$241.67at 0.033Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$149.99at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$136.36at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?
- +$136.36at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12?
- +$115.45at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 08:01 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 09-19 08:01 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.035 | $1.05 |
| 09-19 08:01 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-19 08:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 09-19 08:00 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 09-17 09:27 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-17 05:00 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $5.70 |
| 08-18 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-17 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on August 17? | BUY | 0.905 | $2.24 |
| 08-17 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.76 |
| 08-17 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.954 | $11.69 |
| 08-17 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on August 17? | BUY | 0.977 | $97.70 |
| 08-16 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.945 | $7.39 |
| 08-16 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 08-08 08:58 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |