aswe344
0x8e5b5ab2f894ac8924af51675d8887b96df1e902
- Realised P&L
- $-266.86
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $41.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.961 | $21.03 | +$0.89 |
| Noble FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No | 0.920 | 0.945 | $9.45 | +$0.25 |
| Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.891 | 0.898 | $8.98 | +$0.07 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.956 | 0.836 | $1.64 | −$0.24 |
| Blues vs. Sabres · Sabres | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$266.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.80at 0.967Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.52at 0.982Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.37at 0.992Will Solana reach $300 in May?
- +$0.35at 0.581Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.35at 0.920Zircuit airdrop in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-22 11:51 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9559999837 | $1.88 |
| 02-22 11:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 26? | BUY | 0.9789999985 | $2.00 |
| 02-22 11:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 02-22 11:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.46 |
| 02-22 11:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 02-22 11:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 02-22 11:49 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 02-22 11:49 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 02-22 11:48 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.00 |
| 02-22 11:46 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $20.14 |
| 11-06 06:44 | Blues vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.56 | $266.25 |
| 09-28 07:41 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $41.23 |
| 08-31 07:36 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August? | BUY | 0.997 | $41.11 |
| 07-17 03:53 | Will XRP reach $4.0 in July? | SELL | 0.858 | $40.86 |
| 03-29 08:11 | Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9819999999 | $28.43 |