PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sirConradz

0x8e581b4bfaee8af48ad44fb16f301d6cd77f205a

Realised P&L
$123.33
Volume
$496.3k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$50.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1840.320$50.55+$21.48
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Faria · Ben Shelton0.1300.000$0.00−$1.74
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar · Rafael Jodar0.0480.000$0.00−$1.60
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa · Paula Badosa0.1790.000$0.00−$13.00
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score · No0.4400.000$0.00−$26.55
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? · No0.1690.000$0.00−$500.00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? · No0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$27.00
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$50.00
Exact Score: Aston Villa 1 - 1 Bayern Munich? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$364.02
Will Germany beat France? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00−$104.00
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 20:38Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?SELL0.02$1.00
09-24 18:37Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.3799999987$91.62
09-18 20:36FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.999$194.06
09-18 17:38FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.52$101.01
09-13 21:49US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonBUY0.01$2.00
09-13 21:47US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonSELL0.99$2.00
09-13 17:57US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonBUY0.5899999994$119.56
09-13 16:18SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.53$100.00
09-12 20:19US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaBUY0.3899999983$80.00
09-12 19:25Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY0.299999994$10.00
09-11 19:27Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1605882352$13.00
09-10 19:19FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4899999917$27.81
09-09 19:07Will SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY0.2599999987$12.16
09-06 17:31Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?SELL0.999$104.48
09-06 15:42Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.4780876459$50.00