alfarooq
0x8e4ce54c133c9176bdbd985525701509304cec54
- Realised P&L
- $-32.64
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $13.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.217 | $7.50 | +$4.50 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.906 | 0.170 | $3.74 | −$16.26 |
| Will Taylor Brown win Big Brother season 28? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.099 | $2.11 | −$0.89 |
| Will Kamu Kirk win Big Brother season 28? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$2.99 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.04at 0.500Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28?
- +$8.25at 0.703Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?
- +$7.92at 0.728Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$5.69at 0.260Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
- +$5.07at 0.663Doodles token announcement in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 09:33 | Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28? | BUY | 0.0869999751 | $3.00 |
| 08-07 09:33 | Will Taylor Brown win Big Brother season 28? | BUY | 0.1403473505 | $3.00 |
| 08-07 09:32 | Will Jason De Puy win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.989 | $65.76 |
| 08-07 09:32 | Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.20 |
| 08-03 11:43 | Will Jason De Puy win Big Brother season 28? | BUY | 0.9926285156 | $66.00 |
| 08-03 11:41 | Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.0395149442 | $1.10 |
| 07-23 23:07 | Will Kamu Kirk win Big Brother season 28? | BUY | 0.1704318483 | $3.00 |
| 07-23 23:07 | Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28? | BUY | 0.1079999709 | $3.00 |
| 07-23 23:06 | Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28? | BUY | 0.0459999856 | $3.00 |
| 07-23 23:05 | Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.041 | $0.82 |
| 07-23 23:05 | Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.954 | $19.08 |
| 04-02 21:43 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 02-08 06:23 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $28.25 |
| 02-08 06:20 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.8399999798 | $20.00 |
| 02-07 11:41 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7029702922 | $20.00 |