PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8e43416393c746da5b79e9f0b33a2173e0152761

0x8e43416393c746da5b79e9f0b33a2173e0152761

Realised P&L
$-7.53
Volume
$301.70
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$36.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Set Handicap: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (-1.5) vs Nuno Borges (+1.5) · Nuno Borges0.5100.505$27.19$0.27
Nuno Borges vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Total Sets O/U 2.5 · Under 2.50.5000.505$9.71+$0.10
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) · Miami Marlins0.3000.000$0.00$4.84
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) · New York Yankees0.1700.000$0.00$2.97
Spread: Chargers (-6.5) · Chargers0.5000.000$0.00$7.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 04:54Set Handicap: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (-1.5) vs Nuno Borges (+1.5)BUY0.5099999929$27.46
09-12 21:54Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)BUY0.3$4.84
09-12 18:58Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5BUY0.49$4.90
09-12 18:39Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.65$9.85
09-12 18:03Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)SELL0.15$14.18