PolyBot

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Traders

RFK-Jr

0x8e414f15f9195e6f6a1c223e2502afe2a0c85932

Realised P&L
$-23.2k
Volume
$292.5k
Markets traded
232
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded232
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4840.425$5.5k$760.53
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4710.410$1.9k$281.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 09:10Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5$800.00
09-07 09:08Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.62$1.4k
09-05 21:25Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5$650.00
09-05 21:24Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.64$3.20
09-05 21:23Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.63$355.95
09-05 21:23Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.64$323.20
09-05 21:20Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?SELL0.07$11.54
08-24 23:37Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5$500.00
08-24 22:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETBUY0.96$121.53
08-24 17:31Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?SELL0.00221$0.22
08-24 17:30Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?SELL0.755$226.50
08-24 17:09Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?BUY0.78$117.00
08-24 17:09Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?BUY0.77$115.50
08-24 04:52Will Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.25$6.97
08-24 04:50Will Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.31$125.64