0x8e3f2d97273dfe65050e786b07b950aaf9e16500
0x8e3f2d97273dfe65050e786b07b950aaf9e16500
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $67.5k
- Markets traded
- 770
- Open portfolio
- $134.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded770
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina vs. Duke · North Carolina | 0.410 | 0.415 | $25.30 | +$0.30 |
| UNLV vs. Air Force · Air Force | 0.510 | 0.495 | $24.26 | −$0.74 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-3.5) · Ohio State | 0.490 | 0.445 | $22.70 | −$2.30 |
| Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.599 | 0.300 | $12.53 | −$12.47 |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina · Appalachian State | 0.520 | 0.515 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Washington vs. Purdue · Washington | 0.410 | 0.405 | $9.88 | −$0.12 |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.460 | 0.245 | $5.33 | −$4.67 |
| Jonathan Taylor: 2+ Touchdowns · Yes | 0.330 | 0.170 | $5.15 | −$4.85 |
| Malik Nabers: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.338 | 0.170 | $5.03 | −$4.97 |
| Isaiah Likely: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.318 | 0.160 | $5.03 | −$4.97 |
| Drake London: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.468 | 0.230 | $4.92 | −$5.08 |
| CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.470 | 0.225 | $4.79 | −$5.21 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) · Seahawks | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$534.45at 0.623Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
- +$450.35at 0.437Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$208.74at 0.535Rams vs. Broncos
- +$200.02at 0.340Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$173.28at 0.598James Cook III: Anytime Touchdown
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 21:23 | Washington vs. Purdue | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 21:23 | Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 20:51 | Jonathan Taylor: 2+ Touchdowns | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 20:49 | Isaiah Likely: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.3184079602 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 20:49 | Malik Nabers: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.3383084523 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 20:47 | Drake London: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.4676616855 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 20:47 | CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 20:47 | Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 20:46 | Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.5988023952 | $25.00 |
| 10-16 19:07 | LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 03:13 | Seahawks vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 10-15 23:02 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 22:57 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 17:09 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 01:59 | UNLV vs. Air Force | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $25.00 |