PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8e382A9a7AA711acb1Ba93503b0190c1A28d77a0-1783182367115

0x8e382a9a7aa711acb1ba93503b0190c1a28d77a0

Realised P&L
$-4.25
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$182.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22? · Yes0.2821.000$14.17+$10.17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 22? · No0.4841.000$12.84+$6.62
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 22? · Yes0.3501.000$11.42+$7.42
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22? · No0.4400.765$6.95+$2.95
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23? · No0.6290.595$6.69$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 23? · Yes0.3300.535$6.48+$2.48
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 22? · Yes0.2800.370$5.29+$1.29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23? · Yes0.4100.545$5.09+$1.26
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 22? · No0.8401.000$5.02+$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 23? · No0.8400.999$5.02+$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 23? · No0.6500.810$4.98+$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 22? · Yes0.4100.500$4.88+$0.88
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 23? · No0.8100.970$4.87+$0.80
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 23? · No0.8900.965$4.85+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 22? · Yes0.3500.415$4.74+$0.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 15:11Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 24?BUY0.83$2.09
09-22 15:11Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 23?SELL0.84$4.22
09-22 14:12Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 24?BUY0.69$4.00
09-22 14:12Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 22?SELL0.84$3.46
09-22 11:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 23?BUY0.3299999761$4.00
09-22 11:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 23?SELL0.53$4.24
09-22 10:11Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 24?BUY0.6699999732$4.00
09-22 10:11Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 22?SELL0.37$5.27
09-22 10:11Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 22?SELL0.91$0.82
09-22 08:11Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 23?BUY0.6499999106$4.00
09-22 08:11Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 23?BUY0.7199999712$4.00
09-22 08:11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23?SELL0.48$0.11
09-22 08:11Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23?SELL0.73$4.71
09-22 07:11Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on September 23?BUY0.829999998$4.16
09-22 07:10Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 23?BUY0.859999984$4.31