0x8e382A9a7AA711acb1Ba93503b0190c1A28d77a0-1783182367115
0x8e382a9a7aa711acb1ba93503b0190c1a28d77a0
- Realised P&L
- $-4.25
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $182.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.10at 0.293Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?
- +$6.91at 0.376Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 21?
- +$2.63at 0.467Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 21?
- +$2.55at 0.618Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22?
- +$1.82at 0.313Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.83 | $2.09 |
| 09-22 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.84 | $4.22 |
| 09-22 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.84 | $3.46 |
| 09-22 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3299999761 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.53 | $4.24 |
| 09-22 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.6699999732 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.37 | $5.27 |
| 09-22 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.82 |
| 09-22 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.6499999106 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.7199999712 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.11 |
| 09-22 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.73 | $4.71 |
| 09-22 07:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.829999998 | $4.16 |
| 09-22 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.859999984 | $4.31 |